Looking ahead with data
Historical patterns are used to make an evidence-based estimate of what may happen next.
Plan ahead with forecasts for demand, revenue or capacity.
Many plans rely on historical averages and experience. Changing patterns make it difficult to estimate future needs accurately. Forecasting uses historical data to predict future trends or demand.
An application only becomes meaningful when it fits a specific task and the information available to carry it out.
A prediction supports a decision, but it remains an estimate with some uncertainty. That is why we define in advance what the solution should and should not do, how the result will be checked and who remains responsible.
Historical patterns are used to make an evidence-based estimate of what may happen next.
The results help staff weigh up future capacity, stock or maintenance needs.
Predictions are tested and remain an aid to decision-making.
We define what we need to predict and how far ahead.
We assess the quality and predictive value of historical data.
We start with a simple method and compare performance.
We test predictions against historical periods and review them with experts.
We integrate the results into the process and monitor model performance.
This service is relevant to organisations that make recurring planning decisions. The exact setup depends on the process, the available data and the risks involved in its use.
We therefore start with a clearly defined application and only expand it once the initial setup works in practice.
This service focuses on the following challenge: forecasting uses historical data to predict future developments or demand. How it works in practice depends on the process and the data available.
The service may be relevant to organisations that make recurring planning decisions. A clear need and usable information matter more than the size of the organisation.
That depends on the application. We start with the question the solution needs to address, then determine which data or sources are necessary and suitable.
No. For fixed, predictable tasks, conventional automation may be enough. We choose the simplest approach that adequately addresses the challenge and add complexity only when needed.
We define the scope of the application, test the results with users and put appropriate checks in place. After launch, we monitor how it works and adapt the solution when the data, its use or the context changes.
Would you like to explore where it makes sense to start with forecasting? Together, we’ll map out the challenge, the available information and the constraints.